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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

In this contest, Kirk Cousins is predicted by the projection model to have the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (51.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Falcons.

The Atlanta O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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