Kirk Cousins TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Atlanta Falcons

TD Passes

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 8:46 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
In this contest, Kirk Cousins is expected by the projection model to wind up with the 8th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.3.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 51.5% red zone pass rate.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
This year, the strong Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a mere 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the 8th-best CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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