Kirk Cousins TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

TD Passes

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-220).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the most pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Minnesota Vikings.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Kirk Cousins is expected by the projection model to wind up with the most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 40.2.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 6th-fewest passing touchdowns in the league: 0.83 per game this year.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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