Kirk Cousins TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 15, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.0% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.6 plays per game.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL against the Philadelphia Eagles defense since the start of last season (67.3%).

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