Kirk Cousins TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

TD Passes

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
Kirk Cousins has attempted 42.1 throws per game this year, checking in at the 88th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 9th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.60 per game this year.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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