Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+130).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.83 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 37.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
Favors Under
The Vikings are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the league against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season (68.3%).
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 2nd-least TDs through the air in football: 0.75 per game this year.