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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run on 44.3% of their chances: the 10th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.23 seconds per play.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's collection of DTs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • In racking up a puny 1.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, Kirk Cousins places among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (18th percentile) in regards to running utilization.
  • Kirk Cousins has generated just 2.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest marks in the league among quarterbacks (5th percentile).
  • Kirk Cousins's rushing efficiency (1.72 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (12th percentile among quarterbacks).
  • Kirk Cousins rates as one of the worst quarterbacks in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging just 0.48 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 21st percentile.

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