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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +175 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Falcons being a 6-point favorite in this game.

Right now, the 6th-most run-focused team in football (42.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Falcons.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 58.8 plays per game.

The Raiders defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to accrue 1.7 carries in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.

Kirk Cousins is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a measly 2.8% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 10th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Kirk Cousins has picked up a mere 1.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league when it comes to QBs (3rd percentile).

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