Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the 3rd-worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to total 2.1 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
Kirk Cousins is not much of a runner and has accounted for a lowly 5.5% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 22nd percentile among QBs.
Kirk Cousins has generated a measly 6.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest marks in the league among quarterbacks (22nd percentile).

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