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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (8.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.6% in games he has played).
  • The New York Giants defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding 5.28 yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 35.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to accrue 1.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
  • Kirk Cousins has grinded out a measly 6.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among QBs (22nd percentile).

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