Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.75 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (7.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.6% in games he has played).
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most yards in the league (144 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Vikings are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to garner 1.7 rush attempts this week, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
Kirk Cousins has grinded out just 5.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in football among quarterbacks (15th percentile).

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