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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-126).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (7.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.4% in games he has played).
  • The New York Giants defense has produced the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding 5.40 yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to total 1.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
  • Kirk Cousins has grinded out just 5.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among QBs (17th percentile).

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