Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-126).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (7.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.4% in games he has played).
The New York Giants defense has produced the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding 5.40 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to total 1.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
Kirk Cousins has grinded out just 5.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among QBs (17th percentile).

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