Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+130/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (7.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).
The Detroit Lions defense has produced the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.37 yards-per-carry.
The Detroit Lions defensive tackles grade out as the 9th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 34.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to accumulate 1.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
Kirk Cousins has generated a measly 6.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (25th percentile).

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