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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (8.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.1% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to accumulate 1.9 carries in this game, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
  • Kirk Cousins has averaged a measly 6.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among QBs (25th percentile).

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