Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in run blocking.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (139 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 33.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to garner 1.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
Kirk Cousins's ground effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a mere 4.11 yards-per-carry vs a 6.61 mark last season.

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