Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 34.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to accrue 1.6 carries in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
Kirk Cousins's ground effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 4.68 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.61 figure last season.

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