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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 248.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 235.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

In this contest, Kirk Cousins is predicted by the projection model to have the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Kirk Cousins has thrown for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (246.0) this year than he did last year (293.0).

This year, the stout Vikings defense has conceded the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a paltry 4.6 YAC.

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