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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 238.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 233.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 238.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to throw 35.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most out of all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.6% pass rate.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Kirk Cousins has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (254.0) this season than he did last season (293.0).

The Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.28 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in the league.

The Broncos defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

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