Kirk Cousins Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 257.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 251.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 257.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
In this game, Kirk Cousins is predicted by the model to have the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.8.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Kirk Cousins has thrown for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (233.0) this year than he did last year (264.0).

Favors Under

The Vikings have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.1 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-fewest yards in football (just 213.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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