Kirk Cousins Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 232.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's contest, Kirk Cousins is expected by the projection model to wind up with the most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 40.2.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Vikings to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Vikings have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.3 plays per game.
The 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 6.12 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
The 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.91 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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