Kirk Cousins Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 277.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 276.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 277.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Kirk Cousins to attempt 40.5 passes in this game, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.
Kirk Cousins has been among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 277.0 yards per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Vikings have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.
The Carolina Panthers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.02 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in the league.

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