Kirk Cousins Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:21 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 298.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 293.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 298.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 42.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the most of all QBs.

Favors Under

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 203.0 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season (67.9%).

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