Kirk Cousins Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 260.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 269.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 260.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.
Kirk Cousins has attempted 42.1 throws per game this year, checking in at the 88th percentile among quarterbacks.
Kirk Cousins has been among the best passers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 273.0 yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The Miami Dolphins defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.87 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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