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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 275.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in football versus the New York Giants defense this year (67.4%).
  • The New York Giants defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.82 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.

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