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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 41.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-least in football.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, surrendering 7.17 yards-per-target: the 8th-least in the league.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.54 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in football.

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