Kirk Cousins Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Pass Attempts

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 38.5 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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