Kirk Cousins Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Pass Attempts

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-144/+109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Vikings to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 41.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 7th-least in football.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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