Kirk Cousins Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Interceptions

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 38.5 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Washington Commanders have intercepted 0.25 throws per game this year, ranking as the worst defense in the league by this standard

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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