Kirk Cousins Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Completions

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
In this game, Kirk Cousins is predicted by the model to have the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.8.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Kirk Cousins's 68.6% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive boost in his throwing precision over last season's 65.2% rate.

Favors Under

The Vikings have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.1 plays per game.
The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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