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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings

Kirk Cousins Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-131/-109).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 38.5 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.

The Minnesota Vikings have faced a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in the league.

The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the league versus the Washington Commanders defense this year (67.3%).

The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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