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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons as the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • The leading projections forecast Kirk Cousins to total 2.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

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