Kirk Cousins Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-174/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Minnesota Vikings have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
The Vikings have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 3rd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Kirk Cousins to total 2.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-fewest of all QBs.
Panthers defensive ends rank as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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