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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Khalil Shakir has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this year (17.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (7.8%).

Khalil Shakir's 4.1 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a remarkable improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 2.4 figure.

Khalil Shakir's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 86.7% to 96.6%.

The Tennessee cornerbacks rank as the 7th-worst group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 121.2 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

More Khalil Shakir Player Props

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