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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

In this game, Khalil Shakir is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 7.4 targets.

Khalil Shakir has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this year (22.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.3%).

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

Khalil Shakir's 4.8 adjusted catches per game this season represents a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 2.4 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.

Khalil Shakir's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 86.7% to 80.6%.

The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Khalil Shakir Player Props

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