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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

While Khalil Shakir has been responsible for 6.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's pass game in this week's game at 14.5%.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Khalil Shakir ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 87.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile among WRs.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.4%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (70.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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