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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Khalil Shakir is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile among WRs with 7.6 targets.

Khalil Shakir has been much more involved in his offense's passing offense this season (22.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (7.8%).

Khalil Shakir's 5.6 adjusted catches per game this year reflects a substantial progression in his receiving skills over last year's 2.4 mark.

Khalil Shakir has been one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching an impressive 88.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 122.1 total plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

More Khalil Shakir Player Props

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