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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.3% pass rate.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

This week, Khalil Shakir is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 89th percentile among WRs with 8.1 targets.

Khalil Shakir's 20.6% Target Rate this season represents a meaningful progression in his air attack utilization over last season's 7.8% rate.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 52.7 per game on average).

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Indianapolis's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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