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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

While Khalil Shakir has accounted for 9.3% of his team's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Buffalo's passing offense in this game at 14.5%.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Khalil Shakir grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, completing an excellent 87.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 100th percentile among WRs.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.6%) versus wide receivers last year (68.6%).

The Arizona cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in the league last year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

As far as a defense's impact on pace, at 28.35 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the 7th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense last year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

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