Khalil Shakir Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Khalil Shakir

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Shakir

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Khalil Shakir to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game in this week's game (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
Khalil Shakir's receiving skills have been refined this year, accumulating 2.0 adjusted catches compared to just 1.0 last year.
With a fantastic 93.6% Adjusted Catch% (98th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
This year, the fierce Bengals defense has allowed a feeble 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 6th-best rate in football.

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