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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Khalil Shakir's 15.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 8.8.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.
  • Khalil Shakir's receiving performance has gotten better this year, averaging 2.2 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 1.0 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • The Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.1%) versus wideouts this year (58.1%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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