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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Khalil Shakir to garner 7.2 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Khalil Shakir has been much more involved in his team's air attack this season (20.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (7.8%).

Khalil Shakir's 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a remarkable improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 36.0 rate.

Khalil Shakir's 98.6% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 86.7% mark.

With an impressive 12.0 adjusted yards per target (100th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been among the leading WRs in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 122.6 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

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