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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Khalil Shakir has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this year (17.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (7.8%).

Khalil Shakir has totaled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (51.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).

Khalil Shakir's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 86.7% to 96.6%.

Khalil Shakir is positioned as one of the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging a terrific 12.04 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

With a terrific 7.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (93rd percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 121.2 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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