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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

In this week's contest, Khalil Shakir is expected by the projection model to finish in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.0 targets.

Khalil Shakir has been much more involved in his team's passing offense this season (23.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (8.3%).

After accumulating 23.0 air yards per game last season, Khalil Shakir has posted big gains this season, now pacing 35.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Khalil Shakir's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 86.7% to 80.6%.

Khalil Shakir's 8.8 adjusted yards per target this season marks a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 12.9 figure.

The Chiefs defense has given up the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 125.0) vs. WRs this year.

This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a measly 7.7 yards.

More Khalil Shakir Player Props

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