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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

In this game, Khalil Shakir is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 7.4 targets.

Khalil Shakir has been a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this year (22.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (8.3%).

Khalil Shakir has put up significantly more air yards this year (34.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.

Khalil Shakir's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 86.7% to 80.6%.

Khalil Shakir's 8.9 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 12.9 rate.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in football.

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