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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • While Khalil Shakir has been responsible for 6.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's pass game in this week's game at 14.5%.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Khalil Shakir ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 87.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile among WRs.
  • Khalil Shakir comes in as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging an exceptional 13.13 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 97th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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