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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Khalil Shakir to accrue 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Khalil Shakir has been a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack this season (22.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (8.3%).
  • Khalil Shakir has compiled many more air yards this season (36.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).
  • Khalil Shakir's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 86.7% to 80.6%.
  • Khalil Shakir's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling just 8.87 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 12.90 mark last season.

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