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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Khalil Shakir has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this season (23.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (7.8%).

Khalil Shakir has posted far more air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

The Buffalo O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Khalil Shakir has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (59.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).

With an outstanding 7.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in football in picking up extra yardage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

More Khalil Shakir Player Props

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