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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

Khalil Shakir's 23.0% Target% this year conveys a significant progression in his pass game utilization over last year's 7.8% rate.

After accruing 21.0 air yards per game last season, Khalil Shakir has undergone big improvement this season, now averaging 32.0 per game.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Khalil Shakir's 62.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a meaningful progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 36.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bills, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 52.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 125.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game versus the Patriots defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

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