Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Khalil Shakir

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Shakir

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 27, 2023 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (67.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Bills.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
With an impressive 9.9 adjusted yards per target (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir ranks as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the league.
The Buccaneers defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (180.0) to wide receivers this year.

Favors Under

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
With an exceptional 18.4% Route% (19th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in football.
Khalil Shakir has accrued a paltry 10.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 22nd percentile among wide receivers.
With a bad 14.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (20th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places among the weakest pass-catching wide receivers in football.

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