Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Khalil Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Herbert

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
The Broncos defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding 4.87 yards-per-carry.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's group of safeties has been atrocious since the start of last season, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
Khalil Herbert's rushing efficiency has worsened this year, averaging just 3.65 yards-per-carry vs a 5.36 mark last year.

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